VOLΣ · IMPLIED VOLATILITY SURFACE CBOE OPTIONS · QUANTLIB BLACK-VARIANCE
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AI generated Analyzing surface
Rendering surface
CalmStressed
Methodology

Reading the volatility surface

An implied volatility surface is the options market's map of risk for a single underlying: one volatility number for every strike and expiry, drawn as a landscape rather than a single line. Its shape encodes how the market prices uncertainty across price and time.

01 · What the axes show

Strike, tenor, volatility

Strike (x) is the option's exercise price; tenor (y) is time to expiry in years; height & colour (z) are annualised implied volatility: cool indigo is calm, warm amber is stressed. The tilt across strikes is the skew / smile; the slope across tenors is the term structure.

02 · How it's built

From quotes to a surface

For each near-the-money option we invert the bid/ask mid price through a Black-Scholes-Merton model (QuantLib) to recover its implied vol, assuming flat r 3% and q 1%. Those points are fitted into a QuantLib Black-variance surface, then sampled on a fine strike × tenor grid.

03 · What it's useful for

Pricing, risk & relative value

Price and hedge options consistently across the whole chain, spot rich / cheap strikes and expiries, gauge how the market prices crash risk via the put skew, and read its expectation of near- versus long-term turbulence from the term structure.

Figures are model-derived from delayed CBOE quotes with flat rate and dividend assumptions, so they are illustrative, not trading-grade marks.